Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.056250 0.065894 0.076651 0.089534 0.104541 0.121468 0.142009
2025-08-31 0.040625 0.052965 0.068217 0.088431 0.114508 0.147009 0.190602
2025-09-07 0.032662 0.046230 0.064367 0.090344 0.126565 0.175263 0.245726
2025-09-14 0.026540 0.040206 0.059699 0.089459 0.133694 0.196980 0.294414
2025-09-21 0.021790 0.035019 0.054980 0.087191 0.137791 0.214170 0.338223
2025-09-28 0.018091 0.030657 0.050598 0.084411 0.140218 0.228578 0.379093
2025-10-05 0.016128 0.028675 0.049513 0.086464 0.150225 0.255616 0.442995
2025-10-12 0.014284 0.026555 0.047817 0.087117 0.157786 0.279335 0.504163
2025-10-19 0.012697 0.024613 0.046095 0.087377 0.164525 0.302237 0.566531
2025-10-26 0.011513 0.023214 0.045111 0.088753 0.173314 0.329598 0.640071
2025-11-02 0.010668 0.022327 0.044925 0.091542 0.184999 0.363463 0.729697
2025-11-09 0.009288 0.020159 0.041966 0.088489 0.184901 0.374960 0.777488
2025-11-16 0.008350 0.018785 0.040442 0.088201 0.190463 0.398472 0.852908
2025-11-23 0.007445 0.017349 0.038597 0.086996 0.193988 0.418362 0.923594
2025-11-30 0.006909 0.016648 0.038209 0.088855 0.204250 0.453342 1.030504
2025-12-07 0.006228 0.015507 0.036693 0.087980 0.208340 0.475590 1.112358
2025-12-14 0.005538 0.014238 0.034712 0.085748 0.209023 0.490372 1.179196
2025-12-21 0.004903 0.013006 0.032643 0.083014 0.208141 0.501453 1.238774
2025-12-28 0.004616 0.012613 0.032535 0.085032 0.218930 0.540783 1.370160
2026-01-04 0.004282 0.012044 0.031913 0.085675 0.226393 0.573066 1.488356
2026-01-11 0.003961 0.011462 0.031180 0.085931 0.232900 0.603766 1.606375
2026-01-18 0.003720 0.011066 0.030879 0.087284 0.242436 0.643124 1.751368
2026-01-25 0.003558 0.010868 0.031080 0.090029 0.256035 0.694435 1.933942